Table 2.

Risk-of-Bias, Certainty, and Decision-Relevance Appraisal by Evidence Group.

Evidence Group Dominant Bias Concerns Risk-of-bias Judgment Certainty of Evidence (GRADE)*
RCT post hoc / pooled analyses Psychiatric exclusion criteria; post hoc harms; rare-event underpowering Some concerns (RoB 2) Moderate
RCT meta-analyses Rare-event ascertainment; heterogeneous harms definitions Not re-appraised with RoB 2; risk of bias as judged within each source synthesis Moderate
Active-comparator cohort / target-trial emulations Residual confounding; outcome misclassification; treatment channeling Moderate (ROBINS-I) Moderate
Broad EHR / passive-comparator studies Comparator imbalance; surveillance bias; obesity-severity confounding Serious to critical (ROBINS-I) Low
Pharmacovigilance / disproportionality Notoriety bias; no denominator data; cannot estimate incidence Not formally scored (qualitative appraisal only) Very low
Regulatory reviews Dependence on quality of underlying data; integration of multiple sources Not applicable (regulatory evidence synthesis) Not applicable †
* Certainty ratings in this column are GRADE assessments made at the level of each evidence group; outcome-specific GRADE ratings are given in Table 3.
† Regulatory reviews are not assigned a GRADE certainty rating; they are instead of high decision relevance, because they integrate multiple evidence streams (randomized controlled trials, large electronic health record/Sentinel cohorts, and spontaneous reports) under a formal regulatory risk–benefit framework and directly inform prescribing and labeling decisions. Per-study domain-level RoB 2/ROBINS-I judgments are reported in Supplement B.

EHR, electronic health record; GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; RoB 2, Cochrane Risk of Bias 2; ROBINS-I, Risk of Bias in Non-randomised Studies of Interventions.

RMMJ Rambam Maimonides Medical Journal Rambam Health Care Campus 2026; 17(4): e0024. ISSN: 2076-9172
Published online 2026 October 26. doi: 10.5041/RMMJ.10585