We commend Cohen et al. for introducing a pragmatic composite—Padua score × D-dimer (PaDd)—designed to refine pulmonary embolism (PE) exclusion in adults aged ≥65 years, a population often characterized by multimorbidity, physiological heterogeneity, and atypical presentations. Their single-center retrospective cohort (2021–2023) provides a compelling, hypothesis-generating signal: combining a validated venous thromboembolism risk score with D-dimer may enhance specificity without compromising safety.1
Against this backdrop, PaDd is appealing because it encodes comorbidity-driven thrombotic risk and leverages D-dimer’s high sensitivity. However, transforming PaDd from a promising signal into an implementable diagnostic policy requires attention to four critical domains.
- Comparator-anchored validation: PaDd’s performance must be benchmarked directly against AADD, YEARS, and PEGeD using identical reference standards and 3-month venous thromboembolism outcomes. External validation of PEGeD has already revealed contexts in which 1000-ng/mL thresholds may be insufficient, particularly above age-adjusted limits—highlighting gaps a PaDd-augmented model should proactively address.3
- Assay-specific calibration: D-dimer is not a single test, and assay heterogeneity meaningfully affects cutoff performance. Data from the ADJUST-PE study show wide inter-assay variability when AADD is applied.5 A future PaDd rule must therefore be assay-calibrated, with outcomes stratified by reagent platform to ensure reproducibility and clinical safety.
- System-level and ethical considerations: In emergency-care systems worldwide, over-testing, under-testing, and mis-testing of suspected PE persist.6 Reducing low-value CTPA is a clinical, economic, and ethical imperative. A PaDd pathway should be embedded within a de-implementation framework supported by decision-curve analysis, cost-effectiveness modeling, and equity metrics, especially in resource-constrained settings.
- Downstream management of subsegmental PE: Diagnostic parsimony should align with therapeutic parsimony. Structured surveillance without anticoagulation is safe for carefully selected patients with isolated subsegmental PE, yet remains underutilized.7 A PaDd-based pathway should predefine subsegmental PE management contingencies to avoid inadvertently replacing imaging overuse with treatment overuse.
- Pre-test probability: Classification using YEARS or 4PEPS (4-Level Pulmonary Embolism Clinical Probability Score) where validated.4,8,9
- Assay-calibrated D-dimer: Application of assay-specific AADD or clinical-probability-adapted thresholds.2,5
- PaDd overlay for ≥65 years: Adjustment of D-dimer cutoffs upward for low comorbidity (low Padua score) and downward for high-risk profiles.1
- Equity and safety framework: Reporting calibration accuracy, safety margins, and failure rates stratified by age, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), cancer status, and assay type.3,5 Integration of subsegmental PE management aligned with local follow-up capacity.7,8
Cohen et al. have introduced a clinically relevant and geriatric-sensitive concept.1 To ensure that PaDd becomes not only innovative but implementable, future studies must be multicenter, assay-calibrated, transparent, and anchored to comparator trials. Such rigor will help deliver a diagnostic pathway that is safer, scalable, and ethically aligned with global standards.